Covid-19 modelling tools for Africa

09 August, 2020

The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) and African Risk Capacity (ARC) have launched two COVID-19 modelling tools for Africa.
The Tools have been designed to help African Union Member States evaluate the potential magnitude of COVID-19 in their countries. They can be used to assist in decsions on responses that will mitigate the risks. 

  • COVID-19 Potential Outcomes Scenarios - will help model the potential impact of the outbreak using specific sets of scenarios and assumptions
  • COVID-19 Spread Simulation Tool for Africa - will enable simulations of different scenarios of COVID-19 spread for each country.

“COVID-19 has generated unprecedented socioeconomic consequences with the reversal of hard-won development achievements. Africa is particularly challenged in its efforts to cope with the decease burdens. ARC is happy to present the new Africa COVID-19 decision support tool which governments and institutions can leverage in designing timely and more informed policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic,” said Mr Mohamed Beavogui, Director-General of the African Risk Capacity and Assistant Secretary-General at the United Nations. The first cases of COVID-19 was reported in Africa on 14 February 2020, the virus has now been reported in all 55 African Union Member States.

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