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The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) has released a risk assessment Resurgence of reported cases of COVID 19 in the EU/EEA. Although overall there is a decline in cases in Europe in the final two weeks of June, community transmission is still occurring with a resurgence in some countries. The reasons for the resurgence are varied, including differences in case definitions and testing, as well as "genuine increases in transmission" related to easing of restrictions.
The risk for locations with "substantial ongoing community transmission" is considered moderate for the general population, but very high for people in a higher risk group for severe illness. Higher risk groups for severe disease include older adults, and people with underlying health issues such as heart disease, high blood pressure, cancer, diabetes, or chronic lung disease or those who are immunocompromised or have a weakened immune system.
The risk of further increases in COVID-19 is high for locations with community transmission that do not have robust monitoring, testing and contact tracing in place, and if social distancing measure are relaxed.
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